NFL teams
Aaron Schatz, ESPN Writer 10y

Super Bowl chances for every team

NFL

As any dedicated reader of the Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 knows, we've run one million simulations of the 2014 NFL season, and have generated a mountain of data to explore from the results. But the most important thing on the minds of fans at this time of the year is: What are the chances that my team wins the Super Bowl?

We're glad you asked. The following is a list of each NFL team's chances of winning Super Bowl XLIX, and there are a couple of notes to keep in mind as you read them:

• These numbers will vary from those that appear in ESPN The Magazine, simply because our projection system is a little different.
• These have been updated slightly from what appeared in our Almanac because of preseason injuries, the most important being Sam Bradford's. They don't take into account the Logan Mankins trade or Josh Gordon's status.

In order of most likely to least likely, here are the Super Bowl championship chances for every NFL team:

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